National Assembly Economic Committee deputy chairman Nguyen Duc Kien sheds some light on Vietnam’s growth perspective and what state firms should do to ensure the success of the government’s ongoing economic restructuring commitment.
Could
the recent bailout package and series of production and consumption
stimulus measures help Vietnam achieve set economic growth targets in
2012?
Three scenarios for 2012 economic growth are currently in place. These
are maintaining National Assembly set growth targets of 6-6.5 per cent,
5.5-5.7 per cent growth parallel to taking measures to support firms
and 5-5.2 per cent growth parallel to exercising measure packages to
push up economic restructuring.
What scenario will become a reality depends on the recent VND29,000
billion ($1.38 billion) bailout package. If it worked well, economic
growth might reach 5.5-5.7 per cent, otherwise growth would slow down to
5.2 per cent.
Should we pump more money to have GDP growth exceeded projections or
not needs further consideration. Final decisions will be made in the
government’s regular meeting in late June.
Vinashin and Vinalines have created media storms. What should
we do first when streamlining state groups and firms based on lessons
from these cases?
State-owned enterprises (SOEs) and groups should properly handle their
functions. Firstly, a group is an enterprise with the same accounting
and management systems.
Besides, state enterprises should also follow a holding company model
which means their financial reports must be known to the public. This is
different from holding companies from other economic sectors. At this
time, information about the SOE sector becomes more transparent to the
public than other sectors.
State enterprises continue to have a key role in the
government’s master plan on economic restructuring. Is that a rational
decision when capital usage efficiency at these businesses have been
below expectations?
In reality, SOEs still play a ruling role in the market. Hence, for
market orientations these firms must take the lead. The leading role
here means the role of the avant-garde. When the market is established,
the state may go out and invest in other areas. For instance, in early
stage of Vietnam’s stock exchange development most of securities firms
belonged to state banks. Of the more than 100 securities firms at
present none are from the state.
However, the model state enterprises proven success with its leading
role does not work to all business areas in the market economy.
We should not hold biased views towards state groups. Vinashin and
Vinalines incurring losses were partly due to unexpected occurrences. Of
course, those at state firms who were found guilty must be brought to
court, but a cautious approach is needed when appraising SOEs’
performance.
International organisations say the pace of equitising SOEs in Vietnam is too slow. What is your stance?
Equitising SOEs is one of measures to enhance firms’ efficiency.
However, it is not a panacea. In fact, many FDI firms in Vietnam
currently operate as a sole-member limited liability company model like
Siemens or Canon.
VIR