According to the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting (NCHMF), as of 7 PM on November 16, the center of Super Typhoon Man-yi was located over the eastern waters of central Philippines. The strongest winds near its center were measured at level 16 (184-201 km/h), with gusts exceeding level 17. The storm is moving northwest at 20 km/h.
Over the next 24 to 72 hours, Super Typhoon Man-yi is expected to continue moving northwest, then shift west-northwest at a speed of 20-25 km/h, slowing to 15 km/h. After making landfall on Luzon Island, the typhoon will enter the East Sea around November 18, becoming the ninth storm to affect Vietnam during this year's storm season.
Meteorologists predict that once in the East Sea, Man-yi will weaken by approximately three levels due to interaction with a cold air mass. By 7 PM on November 18, it is forecasted to be over the northeastern waters of the East Sea, approximately 600 km east-northeast of the Hoang Sa (Paracel) Islands. It will continue moving northwest at 20-25 km/h, gradually weakening.
By 7 PM on November 19, the storm is expected to be located in the northern East Sea, about 330 km north-northeast of the Hoang Sa Islands, with winds reduced to level 9 and gusts at level 11.
From 72 to 120 hours after this, Man-yi is forecasted to move southwest at 10 km/h, with its intensity continuing to weaken.
Nguyen Van Huong, Head of the Weather Forecasting Department at the NCHMF, stated that the interaction between the cold air mass and Typhoon Man-yi will significantly influence its intensity and trajectory. The weather conditions in the East Sea are expected to worsen in the coming days, with strong winds, high waves, and turbulent conditions.
Specifically, starting tomorrow afternoon (November 17), the northeastern East Sea will experience winds of level 6-7, increasing to level 8-9, and reaching level 10-12 near the storm’s center, with gusts up to level 16. Wave heights are expected to range from 2-4 meters, reaching 5-7 meters near the storm center, with the sea becoming extremely rough.
Vessels operating in the affected areas are at risk of strong winds, large waves, and severe thunderstorms. Mariners are urged to exercise extreme caution.
Given the dynamic nature of Super Typhoon Man-yi, further updates and monitoring are essential.
Bao Anh