According to the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting (NCHMF), as of November 2, a tropical storm named Kalmaegi was active over the eastern waters of central Philippines.

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Storm path of Kalmaegi as of the afternoon of November 2. Source: NCHMF

At 4 p.m., Kalmaegi’s center was located at approximately 11.2°N latitude and 132.5°E longitude. The strongest winds near the storm’s center were measured at level 9 (75-88 km/h), gusting to level 11. The storm was moving westward at a speed of about 25 km/h.

Forecast for the next 24 to 72 hours: Kalmaegi is expected to continue moving west-northwest, maintaining a rapid pace of 25 km/h and potentially strengthening in intensity.

Meteorologists warn that Kalmaegi may become a very strong storm once in the East Sea, possibly intensifying to category 14, with gusts reaching level 17. It could make landfall in Vietnam around November 7.

Forecast models suggest the storm could bring damaging winds and heavy rain to central provinces from Da Nang to Khanh Hoa, as well as to the Central Highlands, during the period from the night of November 6 to November 9.

The national weather agency also noted that Kalmaegi’s strength and path remain subject to change due to influences from large-scale weather systems and terrain interactions as it passes through the Philippines.

From the afternoon and night of November 4, strong winds will begin affecting the eastern sea areas of the central East Sea, with wind speeds reaching level 6-7, increasing later to levels 8-9. Areas near the storm’s center could experience winds of level 10-12, gusting to levels 14-15. Wave heights are expected to reach 5-7 meters, making for extremely rough seas.

Between November 5 and 6, the central East Sea region (including the Truong Sa archipelago) and offshore waters from Da Nang to Khanh Hoa will likely be hit by winds of level 12-14, gusting above level 17. Wave heights could reach 8-10 meters.

All vessels operating in these hazardous areas are at risk of encountering thunderstorms, whirlwinds, strong winds, and large waves.

So far in 2025, Vietnam has experienced 12 named storms and 5 tropical depressions. Several, including Wutip, Wipha, Kajiki, Nongfa, Ragasa, Bualoi, Matmo, and Fengshen, have directly impacted or caused widespread flooding and damage across northern and central regions.

Bao Anh