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Update news export turnover
Prices of Vietnamese fruit such as dragon fruit, durian, passion fruit, and jackfruit have fallen sharply as a result of the new Chinese policy on tightening control over farm imports.
The target of exporting $40 billion worth of textiles and garments this year may be unattainable.
The catfish price has been decreasing sharply this year after two years of staying at high levels.
Vietnam is no longer the only catfish producer and exporter in the world and now has to compete with many rivals, including Indonesia, India and China.
Vietnam’s import and export value has exceeded $400 billion and is moving towards the $500 billion threshold.
Vietnam expects to see spectacular export growth rate in 2019 despite influences from the US-China trade war, but the government has decided to maintain the same export target for 2020.
Though ASEAN is an open market for Vietnam, it has not been easy to export products to the large market.
Increasing exports to the US, Vietnam is a step closer to the risk of alleged monetary manipulation as US President Trump tries to reach a trade agreement with China at a negotiation round this October.
With a growth rate of 34 percent, or $10.9 billion, Vietnam has jumped from 12th to 7th among the leading suppliers to the US market.
Vietnam is predicted to obtain the highest GDP growth rate in the region, but it is exposed to risks from the effects of global economic tensions.
Rice exports to the Philippines have increased sharply as the country has lifted quotas since the beginning of the year. However, Vietnamese farmers have not received big benefits.
Vietnam, the second biggest coffee exporter in the world, is experiencing tough days as the export volume has fallen and export prices are among the lowest in the world.
One of the biggest risks posed by the US-China trade war is the flood of cheap Chinese products into Vietnam.
Chinese FDI is rushing into Vietnam, bringing huge capital. However, Vietnam has been told to be careful about using this capital.
Businesses are optimistic about the prospects of the two largest export markets, the US and China, after the Chinese yuan for the first time fell from the ‘red line’ since 2008 to 6,9225 yuan per dollar.
Asked about influence of the US-China trade war on their business performance, Vietnamese enterprises said they can see opportunities, but find it difficult to grab them.
Since China is Vietnam’s biggest trade partner, the sharp yuan devaluation will affect Vietnam’s imports and exports with China.
The US Federal Reserve has cut the FED Funds Rate by 0.25 percentage points to 2.5 percent because of the global economic growth slowdown, the trade tensions between the US and other countries, and low inflation rate.
The EU Vietnam free trade agreement (EVFTA) has been compared to a highway which allows businesses to go faster and boost their exports.
Official reports all show that exports of farm produce have increased sharply since the beginning of the year, but the value is very low.